I have become wary of forecasting the effects of "worst case scenarios" on tourism. The problem is that you come up with a number that is between zero and a very large number. The WTTC has been doing this:
A swine flu pandemic will infect up to 60 million jobs
Far more interesting is the effects that the Mexican outbreak of swine flu is having on the Mexican economy. The closure of Sol Melia hotels is both worrying and indicative of how easy it is for footloose multinationals to switch locations when the going gets tough.
Even more worrying though is this bizare quote, coming remember as the WTTC predicts 60 million jobs being lost from a "worst case scenario":
"WTTC chairman Geoffrey Kent told delegates that economic problems and pandemic scares would ease in the long-term. 'Don't worry about the credit crunch. It will go away. Don't be discouraged by world events. They'll sort themselves out. They always do. Don't be discouraged by swine flu. It's all overblown anyway,' he said."
This is an occasional blog about the world of tourism and the economics of tourism. Feel free to add comments.
Sunday, May 17, 2009
Sunday, May 10, 2009
Dubai Seeking More Tourists And Visitors With Aggressive Marketing Drive | World News | Sky News
Dubai Seeking More Tourists And Visitors With Aggressive Marketing Drive World News Sky News: "Tourism is one of Dubai's most important sectors. It contributes directly towards 19% of the city-state's GDP.
Indirectly, after factoring in retail sales and other related businesses, that figure could be as high as 30%."
Indirectly, after factoring in retail sales and other related businesses, that figure could be as high as 30%."
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